Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Maxence Rivera remove | Thiago Nuss remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 25 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie | Omilos Filathlon Irakliou FC · Super League 1 |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.42 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1284 | 1225 |
| League minutes | 2060 (67%) | 1557 (67%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.39 | 0.52 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.47 | 0.53 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 29 | 23 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.4M – €5.1M | €642k – €2.3M |
| Model value | €814k – €1.4M | €517k – €1.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.5M – €4.6M | €736k – €2.6M |
| Bargain Index | 57/100 | 91/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €5.1M Model value (performance-implied)€814k – €1.4M Projected value (24 months)€1.5M – €4.6M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€642k – €2.3M Model value (performance-implied)€517k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€736k – €2.6M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Maxence Rivera and Thiago Nuss
- Nuss is estimated to cost far less (€885k vs €2.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Nuss (Bargain Index 91 vs 57) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Rivera Moderate, Nuss High.