Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| David Sousa remove | João Goulart remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 26 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Casa Pia AC · Liga Portugal | Casa Pia AC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1225 | 1225 |
| League minutes | 2265 (74%) | 1914 (63%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 29 | 30 |
| Market value | €1.0M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €469k – €1.2M | €480k – €1.2M |
| Model value | €511k – €1.6M | €585k – €1.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €663k – €2.3M | €709k – €1.9M |
| Bargain Index | 77/100 | 92/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€469k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€511k – €1.6M Projected value (24 months)€663k – €2.3M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€480k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€585k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€709k – €1.9M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates David Sousa and João Goulart
- On value for money the model prefers Goulart (Bargain Index 92 vs 77) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Sousa Moderate, Goulart High.