Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Alfonso Trezza remove | Murilo remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 31 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | FC Arouca · Liga Portugal | Gil Vicente FC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1310 | 1303 |
| League minutes | 2329 (76%) | 2592 (85%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.46 | 0.52 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.52 | 0.52 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 42 | 43 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €557k – €1.4M | €246k – €822k |
| Model value | €738k – €2.4M | €744k – €1.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €780k – €2.1M | €319k – €610k |
| Bargain Index | 92/100 | 38/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€557k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€738k – €2.4M Projected value (24 months)€780k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€246k – €822k Model value (performance-implied)€744k – €1.3M Projected value (24 months)€319k – €610k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Alfonso Trezza and Murilo
- Trezza is 5 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Murilo is estimated to cost far less (€490k vs €743k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Trezza (Bargain Index 92 vs 38) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.