Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Josimar Alcócer remove | Kazeem Olaigbe remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 23 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | KVC Westerlo · Jupiler Pro League | Trabzonspor · Super Lig |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.40 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1348 | 1304 |
| League minutes | 1963 (73%) | 2044 (67%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.28 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 31 | 27 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.7M – €4.6M | €1.5M – €3.8M |
| Model value | €909k – €5.6M | €728k – €1.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.4M – €6.3M | €1.6M – €5.4M |
| Bargain Index | 50/100 | 86/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | 24% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €4.6M Model value (performance-implied)€909k – €5.6M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €6.3M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €3.8M Model value (performance-implied)€728k – €1.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.6M – €5.4M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Josimar Alcócer and Kazeem Olaigbe
- Alcócer plays in a stronger league (0.65 vs 0.40); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Alcócer has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.34 vs 0.21 per 90).
- Olaigbe is estimated to cost far less (€1.9M vs €3.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Olaigbe (Bargain Index 86 vs 50) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Alcócer Moderate, Olaigbe High.