Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Arijon Ibrahimovic remove | Josimar Alcócer remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 21 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | 1. Fußballclub Heidenheim 1846 · Bundesliga | KVC Westerlo · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1323 | 1348 |
| League minutes | 2181 (71%) | 1963 (73%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 50 | 31 |
| Market value | €10.0M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €7.8M – €18.4M | €1.7M – €4.6M |
| Model value | €2.1M – €17.8M | €909k – €5.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.7M – €25.2M | €1.4M – €6.3M |
| Bargain Index | 76/100 | 50/100 |
| Development | Very High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 44% | 24% |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€7.8M – €18.4M Model value (performance-implied)€2.1M – €17.8M Projected value (24 months)€5.7M – €25.2M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.7M – €4.6M Model value (performance-implied)€909k – €5.6M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €6.3M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Arijon Ibrahimovic and Josimar Alcócer
- Ibrahimovic plays in a stronger league (0.94 vs 0.65); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Alcócer is estimated to cost far less (€3.0M vs €10.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Ibrahimovic (Bargain Index 76 vs 50) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.