Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Francis Coquelin remove | Nathan Rôdes remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 35 | 28 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | FC Nantes · Ligue 1 | FCV Dender EH · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1304 | 1207 |
| League minutes | 655 (21%) | 1463 (54%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.14 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.18 | 0.07 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 45 | 19 |
| Market value | €700k | €600k |
| Estimated acquisition | €208k – €610k | €176k – €455k |
| Model value | €301k – €645k | €452k – €1.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €248k – €688k | €210k – €590k |
| Bargain Index | No index | 73/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€208k – €610k Model value (performance-implied)€301k – €645k Projected value (24 months)€248k – €688k Dashed line: current market value (€700k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€176k – €455k Model value (performance-implied)€452k – €1.5M Projected value (24 months)€210k – €590k Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Francis Coquelin and Nathan Rôdes
- Rôdes is 7 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Coquelin plays in a stronger league (0.88 vs 0.65); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Coquelin has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.18 vs 0.07 per 90).
- Rôdes was used far more by the club (54% of minutes vs 21%).
- Risk differs: Coquelin Very High, Rôdes High.