Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Martin Dúbravka remove | Charles remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 37 | 32 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Burnley FC · Premier League | Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1343 | 1361 |
| League minutes | 3150 (92%) | 1710 (56%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 92 | 38 |
| Market value | €500k | €300k |
| Estimated acquisition | €167k – €727k | €88k – €300k |
| Model value | €1.1M – €1.8M | €266k – €1.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €214k – €447k | €105k – €287k |
| Bargain Index | No index | 85/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€167k – €727k Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€214k – €447k Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€88k – €300k Model value (performance-implied)€266k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€105k – €287k Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Martin Dúbravka and Charles
- Charles is 5 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Dúbravka plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.58); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Dúbravka was used far more by the club (92% of minutes vs 56%).
- Charles is estimated to cost far less (€118k vs €223k mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Dúbravka Moderate, Charles Very High.