Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Simon Ebonog remove | Junior Mwanga remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 23 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Le Havre AC · Ligue 1 | FC Nantes · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1361 | 1350 |
| League minutes | 1764 (58%) | 1642 (54%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.05 | 0.11 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 44 | 51 |
| Market value | €4.5M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.4M – €9.9M | €2.6M – €6.8M |
| Model value | €1.4M – €9.8M | €2.1M – €5.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.7M – €13.4M | €3.1M – €9.4M |
| Bargain Index | 70/100 | 94/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 32% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.4M – €9.9M Model value (performance-implied)€1.4M – €9.8M Projected value (24 months)€2.7M – €13.4M Dashed line: current market value (€4.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.6M – €6.8M Model value (performance-implied)€2.1M – €5.7M Projected value (24 months)€3.1M – €9.4M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Simon Ebonog and Junior Mwanga
- On value for money the model prefers Mwanga (Bargain Index 94 vs 70) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Ebonog High, Mwanga Moderate.