Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Yevgen Pavlyuk remove | Ryan Astley remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 24 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | TOV FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · Premier Liga | Dundee FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1186 | 1121 |
| League minutes | 2522 (93%) | 2637 (89%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 22 | 15 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €600k |
| Estimated acquisition | €822k – €2.3M | €195k – €797k |
| Model value | €474k – €983k | €268k – €984k |
| Projected value (24m) | €772k – €3.1M | €387k – €866k |
| Bargain Index | 55/100 | 79/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€822k – €2.3M Model value (performance-implied)€474k – €983k Projected value (24 months)€772k – €3.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€195k – €797k Model value (performance-implied)€268k – €984k Projected value (24 months)€387k – €866k Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Yevgen Pavlyuk and Ryan Astley
- Astley is estimated to cost far less (€438k vs €1.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Astley (Bargain Index 79 vs 55) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Pavlyuk High, Astley Moderate.