Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Lukas Ullrich removeGvidas Gineitis remove
Age2222
PositionLeft midfielderCentral midfielder
Club · leagueBorussia Mönchengladbach · BundesligaTorino FC · Serie A
League strength0.940.93
Team strength (Elo)14231419
League minutes1306 (43%)1763 (52%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.000.05
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.100.12
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile4952
Market value€6.0M€5.5M
Estimated acquisition€3.7M – €8.4M€3.2M – €7.9M
Model value€2.5M – €9.0M€3.6M – €18.5M
Projected value (24m)€2.8M – €9.8M€2.8M – €10.3M
Bargain Index33/10055/100
DevelopmentModerateHigh
Breakout probability16%30%
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€3.7M – €8.4M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.5M – €9.0M
Projected value (24 months)€2.8M – €9.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€3.2M – €7.9M
Model value (performance-implied)€3.6M – €18.5M
Projected value (24 months)€2.8M – €10.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€5.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Lukas Ullrich and Gvidas Gineitis

  • On value for money the model prefers Gineitis (Bargain Index 55 vs 33) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.