Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ivan Komarov remove | Pablo Gozálbez remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 25 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | FK Rostov · Premier Liga | FC Arouca · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1301 | 1310 |
| League minutes | 1101 (41%) | 1062 (35%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.16 | 0.25 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 22 | 23 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €700k |
| Estimated acquisition | €547k – €1.7M | €276k – €971k |
| Model value | €569k – €1.7M | €539k – €1.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €651k – €2.4M | €385k – €1.1M |
| Bargain Index | 81/100 | 68/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€547k – €1.7M Model value (performance-implied)€569k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€651k – €2.4M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€276k – €971k Model value (performance-implied)€539k – €1.3M Projected value (24 months)€385k – €1.1M Dashed line: current market value (€700k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ivan Komarov and Pablo Gozálbez
- Gozálbez has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.40 vs 0.30 per 90).
- Gozálbez is estimated to cost far less (€620k vs €1.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Komarov (Bargain Index 81 vs 68) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.