Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Telmo Arcanjo remove | Brenner remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 24 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | CD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1361 | 1276 |
| League minutes | 1244 (41%) | 1185 (39%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 26 | 17 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €1.3M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.1M – €2.9M | €527k – €1.6M |
| Model value | €659k – €2.3M | €433k – €1.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.4M – €3.7M | €656k – €2.0M |
| Bargain Index | 89/100 | 76/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €2.9M Model value (performance-implied)€659k – €2.3M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€527k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€433k – €1.5M Projected value (24 months)€656k – €2.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.3M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Telmo Arcanjo and Brenner
- Brenner has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.26 vs 0.17 per 90).
- Brenner is estimated to cost far less (€929k vs €1.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Arcanjo (Bargain Index 89 vs 76) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Arcanjo High, Brenner Moderate.