Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Aleksandar Pavlovic remove | Marc Casadó remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 22 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Bayern Munich · Bundesliga | FC Barcelona · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1871 | 1787 |
| League minutes | 1461 (48%) | 981 (29%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.25 | 0.09 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 92 | 86 |
| Market value | €90.0M | €18.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €69.7M – €123M | €13.0M – €25.2M |
| Model value | €25.2M – €61.6M | €15.5M – €41.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €60.1M – €112M | €12.1M – €31.1M |
| Bargain Index | 19/100 | 61/100 |
| Development | High | High |
| Breakout probability | 9% | 22% |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€69.7M – €123M Model value (performance-implied)€25.2M – €61.6M Projected value (24 months)€60.1M – €112M Dashed line: current market value (€90.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€13.0M – €25.2M Model value (performance-implied)€15.5M – €41.8M Projected value (24 months)€12.1M – €31.1M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Aleksandar Pavlovic and Marc Casadó
- Pavlovic was used far more by the club (48% of minutes vs 29%).
- Casadó is estimated to cost far less (€16.9M vs €97.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Casadó (Bargain Index 61 vs 19) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Pavlovic Low, Casadó Moderate.