Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jobe Bellingham remove | Ngal'ayel Mukau remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 21 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga | LOSC Lille · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1656 | 1547 |
| League minutes | 1785 (58%) | 1540 (50%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 83 | 69 |
| Market value | €40.0M | €15.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €32.3M – €55.6M | €10.7M – €22.4M |
| Model value | €6.0M – €43.4M | €8.1M – €17.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €28.1M – €68.4M | €9.4M – €27.8M |
| Bargain Index | 52/100 | 72/100 |
| Development | Very High | High |
| Breakout probability | 9% | 17% |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€32.3M – €55.6M Model value (performance-implied)€6.0M – €43.4M Projected value (24 months)€28.1M – €68.4M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€10.7M – €22.4M Model value (performance-implied)€8.1M – €17.5M Projected value (24 months)€9.4M – €27.8M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jobe Bellingham and Ngal'ayel Mukau
- Mukau is estimated to cost far less (€15.9M vs €43.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mukau (Bargain Index 72 vs 52) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.