Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Igor Dmitriev remove | Kazımcan Karataş remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 23 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | FK Spartak Moskva · Premier Liga | Basaksehir FK · Super Lig |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.40 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1443 | 1412 |
| League minutes | 1170 (43%) | 1139 (37%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.54 | 0.24 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 42 | 22 |
| Market value | €3.5M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.2M – €6.8M | €867k – €2.2M |
| Model value | €766k – €3.4M | €681k – €1.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.1M – €8.4M | €1.1M – €4.0M |
| Bargain Index | 39/100 | 93/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | 21% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.2M – €6.8M Model value (performance-implied)€766k – €3.4M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €8.4M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€867k – €2.2M Model value (performance-implied)€681k – €1.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €4.0M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Igor Dmitriev and Kazımcan Karataş
- Dmitriev plays in a stronger league (0.56 vs 0.40); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Karataş is estimated to cost far less (€1.2M vs €4.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Karataş (Bargain Index 93 vs 39) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.