Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Alessandro Marcandalli removeAlessandro Circati remove
Age2322
PositionCentre-backCentre-back
Club · leagueGenoa CFC · Serie AParma Calcio 1913 · Serie A
League strength0.930.93
Team strength (Elo)14071374
League minutes2600 (76%)2666 (78%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.070.07
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.090.10
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile5559
Market value€14.0M€12.0M
Estimated acquisition€11.4M – €22.2M€9.2M – €17.5M
Model value€2.2M – €9.9M€2.7M – €11.4M
Projected value (24m)€7.5M – €24.4M€7.9M – €25.9M
Bargain Index29/10063/100
DevelopmentModerateHigh
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)23%
RiskLowLow
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€11.4M – €22.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.2M – €9.9M
Projected value (24 months)€7.5M – €24.4M
Dashed line: current market value (€14.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€9.2M – €17.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€2.7M – €11.4M
Projected value (24 months)€7.9M – €25.9M
Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Alessandro Marcandalli and Alessandro Circati

  • On value for money the model prefers Circati (Bargain Index 63 vs 29) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.