Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Michael Kayode remove | Jake O'Brien remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 25 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | Brentford FC · Premier League | Everton FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1612 | 1556 |
| League minutes | 3264 (95%) | 3124 (91%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 91 | 93 |
| Market value | €40.0M | €18.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €25.6M – €56.3M | €10.4M – €23.4M |
| Model value | €19.7M – €46.6M | €19.4M – €31.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €29.5M – €53.9M | €13.0M – €29.2M |
| Bargain Index | 50/100 | 75/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 5% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€25.6M – €56.3M Model value (performance-implied)€19.7M – €46.6M Projected value (24 months)€29.5M – €53.9M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€10.4M – €23.4M Model value (performance-implied)€19.4M – €31.0M Projected value (24 months)€13.0M – €29.2M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Michael Kayode and Jake O'Brien
- Kayode is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- O'Brien is estimated to cost far less (€16.9M vs €42.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers O'Brien (Bargain Index 75 vs 50) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.