Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Novatus Miroshi removeJosh Mulligan remove
Age2323
PositionDefensive midfielderDefensive midfielder
Club · leagueGöztepe · Super LigHibernian FC · Scottish Premiership
League strength0.400.31
Team strength (Elo)12811281
League minutes2256 (74%)1836 (62%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.160.29
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.200.19
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile2938
Market value€5.0M€3.0M
Estimated acquisition€2.2M – €7.3M€1.3M – €4.2M
Model value€669k – €1.2M€770k – €2.5M
Projected value (24m)€2.7M – €8.8M€1.4M – €4.8M
Bargain Index71/10054/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€2.2M – €7.3M
Model value (performance-implied)€669k – €1.2M
Projected value (24 months)€2.7M – €8.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €4.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€770k – €2.5M
Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €4.8M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Novatus Miroshi and Josh Mulligan

  • Mulligan is estimated to cost far less (€2.9M vs €4.3M mid-estimate).
  • On value for money the model prefers Miroshi (Bargain Index 71 vs 54) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.