Josh Mulligan

The model rates Josh Mulligan's performance-implied value at EUR 0.8M-2.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.3M-4.2M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-4.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.56x the positional average in the league (1836 minutes, league coefficient 0.31). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1836 (62% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.29

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.19

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

38 (Average)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.31 (rank 26)

Team strength (Elo)

1281

Opponent strength

1209

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Low

Trajectory

stable

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€1.4M – €4.8M

Trajectory drivers: changed club; team strength up (+158 Elo); role change RM -> DM.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +12% (IQR -25% to +31%).

• ▲League level coefficient 0.31 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
• ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Historical movers

10 (MID)

Relative output kept

77%–107%

Held a regular role (900+ min)

80%

Confidence

Low

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.