Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Marc Pubill remove | Koni De Winter remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 24 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Atlético de Madrid · Laliga | AC Milan · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1619 | 1570 |
| League minutes | 1382 (40%) | 1798 (53%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 80 | 80 |
| Market value | €35.0M | €23.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €26.9M – €50.5M | €17.0M – €31.4M |
| Model value | €6.5M – €20.4M | €8.2M – €29.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €22.8M – €55.5M | €12.2M – €33.3M |
| Bargain Index | 14/100 | 43/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€26.9M – €50.5M Model value (performance-implied)€6.5M – €20.4M Projected value (24 months)€22.8M – €55.5M Dashed line: current market value (€35.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€17.0M – €31.4M Model value (performance-implied)€8.2M – €29.2M Projected value (24 months)€12.2M – €33.3M Dashed line: current market value (€23.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Marc Pubill and Koni De Winter
- Winter is estimated to cost far less (€22.9M vs €41.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Winter (Bargain Index 43 vs 14) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Pubill Low, Winter Moderate.