Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Adam Nygaard remove | Devon Koswal remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 22 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | FC Fredericia · Superliga | SC Telstar · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.47 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1183 | 1216 |
| League minutes | 1006 (51%) | 1638 (54%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 0 | 5 |
| Market value | €500k | €450k |
| Estimated acquisition | €320k – €1.9M | €153k – €953k |
| Model value | €157k – €365k | €296k – €608k |
| Projected value (24m) | €326k – €1.2M | €321k – €796k |
| Bargain Index | 38/100 | 80/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 9% | 18% |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€320k – €1.9M Model value (performance-implied)€157k – €365k Projected value (24 months)€326k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€153k – €953k Model value (performance-implied)€296k – €608k Projected value (24 months)€321k – €796k Dashed line: current market value (€450k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Adam Nygaard and Devon Koswal
- Nygaard is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Koswal is estimated to cost far less (€382k vs €620k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Koswal (Bargain Index 80 vs 38) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Nygaard High, Koswal Moderate.