Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Santiago Castro remove | Rômulo remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 24 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Bologna Football Club 1909 · Serie A | RB Leipzig · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1523 | 1568 |
| League minutes | 2365 (69%) | 2209 (72%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.38 | 0.53 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 79 | 79 |
| Market value | €32.0M | €30.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €24.7M – €44.7M | €23.5M – €43.0M |
| Model value | €11.2M – €42.3M | €5.3M – €27.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €18.2M – €51.9M | €17.5M – €44.1M |
| Bargain Index | 49/100 | 27/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 8% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€24.7M – €44.7M Model value (performance-implied)€11.2M – €42.3M Projected value (24 months)€18.2M – €51.9M Dashed line: current market value (€32.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€23.5M – €43.0M Model value (performance-implied)€5.3M – €27.2M Projected value (24 months)€17.5M – €44.1M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Santiago Castro and Rômulo
- Castro is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Castro (Bargain Index 49 vs 27) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.