Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ilias Sebaoui remove | Naïs Djouahra remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 26 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Sint-Truidense VV · Jupiler Pro League | FC Arouca · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1401 | 1310 |
| League minutes | 2504 (93%) | 2744 (90%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.25 | 0.29 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 37 | 41 |
| Market value | €3.5M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.0M – €5.0M | €475k – €1.3M |
| Model value | €1.0M – €4.2M | €858k – €3.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.1M – €5.3M | €779k – €2.1M |
| Bargain Index | 71/100 | 89/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.0M – €5.0M Model value (performance-implied)€1.0M – €4.2M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €5.3M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€475k – €1.3M Model value (performance-implied)€858k – €3.4M Projected value (24 months)€779k – €2.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ilias Sebaoui and Naïs Djouahra
- Djouahra has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.40 vs 0.29 per 90).
- Djouahra is estimated to cost far less (€633k vs €3.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Djouahra (Bargain Index 89 vs 71) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Sebaoui Low, Djouahra Moderate.