Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Arda Güler remove | Matías Soulé remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 23 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Real Madrid · Laliga | Associazione Sportiva Roma · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1745 | 1638 |
| League minutes | 2027 (59%) | 2162 (63%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.58 | 0.46 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 95 | 89 |
| Market value | €90.0M | €35.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €67.1M – €122M | €22.3M – €43.9M |
| Model value | €37.9M – €80.9M | €22.5M – €51.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €56.1M – €120M | €22.6M – €54.6M |
| Bargain Index | 22/100 | 55/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 5% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€67.1M – €122M Model value (performance-implied)€37.9M – €80.9M Projected value (24 months)€56.1M – €120M Dashed line: current market value (€90.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€22.3M – €43.9M Model value (performance-implied)€22.5M – €51.7M Projected value (24 months)€22.6M – €54.6M Dashed line: current market value (€35.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Arda Güler and Matías Soulé
- Soulé is estimated to cost far less (€33.2M vs €92.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Soulé (Bargain Index 55 vs 22) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.