Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lucas Bergvall remove | Lewis Miley remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 20 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Tottenham Hotspur · Premier League | Newcastle United · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1564 | 1631 |
| League minutes | 967 (28%) | 1494 (44%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 84 | 89 |
| Market value | €35.0M | €25.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €25.5M – €49.3M | €19.2M – €36.7M |
| Model value | €14.2M – €35.3M | €22.1M – €43.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €25.9M – €52.2M | €19.4M – €64.7M |
| Bargain Index | 52/100 | 81/100 |
| Development | Very High | Very High |
| Breakout probability | 9% | 20% |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€25.5M – €49.3M Model value (performance-implied)€14.2M – €35.3M Projected value (24 months)€25.9M – €52.2M Dashed line: current market value (€35.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€19.2M – €36.7M Model value (performance-implied)€22.1M – €43.6M Projected value (24 months)€19.4M – €64.7M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lucas Bergvall and Lewis Miley
- Miley was used far more by the club (44% of minutes vs 28%).
- On value for money the model prefers Miley (Bargain Index 81 vs 52) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.