Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jack Hinshelwood remove | Brajan Gruda remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 22 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Brighton & Hove Albion · Premier League | RB Leipzig · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1611 | 1589 |
| League minutes | 1751 (51%) | 1471 (43%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.41 | 0.49 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 94 | 88 |
| Market value | €28.0M | €28.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €17.5M – €39.5M | €17.0M – €37.8M |
| Model value | €36.1M – €50.9M | €18.2M – €39.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €18.9M – €49.8M | €15.9M – €43.4M |
| Bargain Index | 67/100 | 34/100 |
| Development | High | High |
| Breakout probability | 17% | 13% |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€17.5M – €39.5M Model value (performance-implied)€36.1M – €50.9M Projected value (24 months)€18.9M – €49.8M Dashed line: current market value (€28.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€17.0M – €37.8M Model value (performance-implied)€18.2M – €39.2M Projected value (24 months)€15.9M – €43.4M Dashed line: current market value (€28.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jack Hinshelwood and Brajan Gruda
- Hinshelwood plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.94); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- On value for money the model prefers Hinshelwood (Bargain Index 67 vs 34) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Hinshelwood Moderate, Gruda Low.