Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Arthur Chaves remove | Jorge Herrando remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 25 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | FC Augsburg · Bundesliga | CA Osasuna · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1440 | 1427 |
| League minutes | 1067 (35%) | 1598 (47%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.17 | 0.11 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 58 | 58 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €3.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.7M – €7.0M | €1.8M – €5.1M |
| Model value | €1.9M – €6.3M | €2.3M – €6.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.6M – €6.1M | €1.8M – €5.2M |
| Bargain Index | 32/100 | 58/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.7M – €7.0M Model value (performance-implied)€1.9M – €6.3M Projected value (24 months)€2.6M – €6.1M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.8M – €5.1M Model value (performance-implied)€2.3M – €6.7M Projected value (24 months)€1.8M – €5.2M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Arthur Chaves and Jorge Herrando
- On value for money the model prefers Herrando (Bargain Index 58 vs 32) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Chaves Moderate, Herrando Low.