Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Matteo Prati remove | Junior Mwanga remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 23 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Cagliari Calcio · Serie A | FC Nantes · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1390 | 1350 |
| League minutes | 1889 (55%) | 1642 (54%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 50 | 51 |
| Market value | €5.5M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.2M – €7.9M | €2.6M – €6.8M |
| Model value | €3.1M – €9.3M | €2.1M – €5.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.8M – €10.2M | €3.1M – €9.4M |
| Bargain Index | 50/100 | 94/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 20% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.2M – €7.9M Model value (performance-implied)€3.1M – €9.3M Projected value (24 months)€2.8M – €10.2M Dashed line: current market value (€5.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.6M – €6.8M Model value (performance-implied)€2.1M – €5.7M Projected value (24 months)€3.1M – €9.4M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Matteo Prati and Junior Mwanga
- Mwanga is estimated to cost far less (€3.5M vs €5.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mwanga (Bargain Index 94 vs 50) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Prati Low, Mwanga Moderate.