Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Rosen Bozhinov remove | Gustavo Mancha remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 21 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Royal Antwerp FC · Jupiler Pro League | Rio Ave FC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1331 | 1317 |
| League minutes | 1893 (55%) | 1603 (52%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 33 | 28 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €1.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.4M – €8.0M | €733k – €2.3M |
| Model value | €729k – €4.2M | €518k – €2.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.4M – €11.3M | €883k – €3.7M |
| Bargain Index | 40/100 | 96/100 |
| Development | High | High |
| Breakout probability | 36% | 28% |
| Risk | Moderate | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.4M – €8.0M Model value (performance-implied)€729k – €4.2M Projected value (24 months)€2.4M – €11.3M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€733k – €2.3M Model value (performance-implied)€518k – €2.6M Projected value (24 months)€883k – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Rosen Bozhinov and Gustavo Mancha
- Mancha is estimated to cost far less (€978k vs €5.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mancha (Bargain Index 96 vs 40) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Bozhinov Moderate, Mancha Very High.