Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Alberto Costa remove | Gustavo Mantuan remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 25 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | FC Porto · Liga Portugal | AO FK Zenit Sankt-Peterburg · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1594 | 1597 |
| League minutes | 2227 (73%) | 1933 (72%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 70 | 73 |
| Market value | €18.0M | €5.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €12.8M – €24.4M | €2.7M – €6.2M |
| Model value | €4.2M – €16.4M | €3.6M – €12.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €14.1M – €30.4M | €3.2M – €8.9M |
| Bargain Index | 51/100 | 68/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 12% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€12.8M – €24.4M Model value (performance-implied)€4.2M – €16.4M Projected value (24 months)€14.1M – €30.4M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.7M – €6.2M Model value (performance-implied)€3.6M – €12.6M Projected value (24 months)€3.2M – €8.9M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Alberto Costa and Gustavo Mantuan
- Costa is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Mantuan is estimated to cost far less (€4.5M vs €19.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mantuan (Bargain Index 68 vs 51) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Costa Low, Mantuan Moderate.