Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Carlos Paraco remove | Zachary Sapsford remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 23 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig · Premier Liga | Dundee United FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1219 | 1178 |
| League minutes | 2106 (78%) | 2278 (77%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.47 | 0.40 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 24 | 18 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €741k – €2.6M | €416k – €1.1M |
| Model value | €620k – €1.8M | €562k – €1.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €775k – €3.3M | €489k – €1.7M |
| Bargain Index | 59/100 | 80/100 |
| Development | High | Low |
| Breakout probability | 27% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€741k – €2.6M Model value (performance-implied)€620k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€775k – €3.3M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€416k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€562k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€489k – €1.7M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Carlos Paraco and Zachary Sapsford
- Sapsford is estimated to cost far less (€669k vs €1.6M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Sapsford (Bargain Index 80 vs 59) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Paraco High, Sapsford Moderate.