Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ivan Nesterenko remove | Arsentiy Doroshenko remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 26 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Obolon Kyiv · Premier Liga | SC Poltava · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1070 | 909 |
| League minutes | 1046 (39%) | 1589 (59%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 2 | 3 |
| Market value | €300k | €250k |
| Estimated acquisition | €85k – €248k | €0 – €114k |
| Model value | €295k – €579k | €320k – €502k |
| Projected value (24m) | €164k – €422k | €222k – €299k |
| Bargain Index | 99/100 | 99/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | 13% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€85k – €248k Model value (performance-implied)€295k – €579k Projected value (24 months)€164k – €422k Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€0 – €114k Model value (performance-implied)€320k – €502k Projected value (24 months)€222k – €299k Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ivan Nesterenko and Arsentiy Doroshenko
- Nesterenko is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Doroshenko was used far more by the club (59% of minutes vs 39%).
- Doroshenko is estimated to cost far less (€18k vs €113k mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Nesterenko Very High, Doroshenko High.