Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Joel Roca remove | Raúl Moro remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 23 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Girona FC · Laliga | CA Osasuna · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1413 | 1417 |
| League minutes | 1468 (43%) | 1185 (35%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.38 | 0.41 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 45 | 43 |
| Market value | €6.0M | €3.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €5.1M – €12.9M | €1.6M – €4.6M |
| Model value | €2.3M – €14.6M | €1.7M – €4.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.0M – €16.6M | €1.4M – €4.9M |
| Bargain Index | 56/100 | 34/100 |
| Development | High | Low |
| Breakout probability | 36% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€5.1M – €12.9M Model value (performance-implied)€2.3M – €14.6M Projected value (24 months)€4.0M – €16.6M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.6M – €4.6M Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €4.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €4.9M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Joel Roca and Raúl Moro
- Roca is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Moro is estimated to cost far less (€3.2M vs €7.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Roca (Bargain Index 56 vs 34) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Roca Moderate, Moro High.