Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Kevin remove | Alejandro Garnacho remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 22 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Fulham FC · Premier League | Chelsea FC · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1576 | 1615 |
| League minutes | 1038 (30%) | 1268 (37%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 84 | 90 |
| Market value | €25.0M | €28.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €20.5M – €36.1M | €20.6M – €39.3M |
| Model value | €11.5M – €28.0M | €26.1M – €49.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €13.0M – €32.0M | €16.4M – €35.7M |
| Bargain Index | 13/100 | 31/100 |
| Development | Moderate | High |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | 7% |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€20.5M – €36.1M Model value (performance-implied)€11.5M – €28.0M Projected value (24 months)€13.0M – €32.0M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€20.6M – €39.3M Model value (performance-implied)€26.1M – €49.0M Projected value (24 months)€16.4M – €35.7M Dashed line: current market value (€28.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Kevin and Alejandro Garnacho
- On value for money the model prefers Garnacho (Bargain Index 31 vs 13) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.