Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jorrel Hato remove | Ayden Heaven remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 19 |
| Position | Left-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Chelsea FC · Premier League | Manchester United · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1615 | 1715 |
| League minutes | 1143 (33%) | 923 (27%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 84 | 82 |
| Market value | €40.0M | €30.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €27.7M – €61.3M | €23.6M – €48.5M |
| Model value | €12.6M – €38.7M | €8.6M – €30.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €22.7M – €57.0M | €22.7M – €65.1M |
| Bargain Index | 16/100 | 49/100 |
| Development | Very High | Very High |
| Breakout probability | 5% | 37% |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€27.7M – €61.3M Model value (performance-implied)€12.6M – €38.7M Projected value (24 months)€22.7M – €57.0M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€23.6M – €48.5M Model value (performance-implied)€8.6M – €30.4M Projected value (24 months)€22.7M – €65.1M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jorrel Hato and Ayden Heaven
- On value for money the model prefers Heaven (Bargain Index 49 vs 16) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.