Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Pablo Durán remove | Fran Pérez remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 23 |
| Position | Striker | Right winger |
| Club · league | Celta de Vigo · Laliga | Rayo Vallecano · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1498 | 1518 |
| League minutes | 1425 (42%) | 1233 (36%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 59 | 54 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €2.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.3M – €5.8M | €1.3M – €4.2M |
| Model value | €3.7M – €11.2M | €2.9M – €8.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.8M – €5.7M | €1.4M – €5.4M |
| Bargain Index | 46/100 | 67/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.3M – €5.8M Model value (performance-implied)€3.7M – €11.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.8M – €5.7M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €4.2M Model value (performance-implied)€2.9M – €8.7M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €5.4M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Pablo Durán and Fran Pérez
- Pérez is estimated to cost far less (€2.4M vs €3.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Pérez (Bargain Index 67 vs 46) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Durán Moderate, Pérez High.