Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Barış Kalaycı remove | Ethan Williams remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 20 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Fatih Karagümrük · Super Lig | Falkirk FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1169 | 1181 |
| League minutes | 1309 (43%) | 1071 (36%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 2 | 5 |
| Market value | €1.8M | €500k |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.3M – €3.0M | €319k – €1.5M |
| Model value | €271k – €633k | €262k – €525k |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.1M – €5.1M | €323k – €1.4M |
| Bargain Index | 63/100 | 39/100 |
| Development | Very High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 38% | 12% |
| Risk | High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €3.0M Model value (performance-implied)€271k – €633k Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €5.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.8M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€319k – €1.5M Model value (performance-implied)€262k – €525k Projected value (24 months)€323k – €1.4M Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Barış Kalaycı and Ethan Williams
- Williams is estimated to cost far less (€624k vs €2.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Kalaycı (Bargain Index 63 vs 39) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Kalaycı High, Williams Very High.