Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Esmir Bajraktarevic remove | Deniz Gül remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 22 |
| Position | Right winger | Striker |
| Club · league | PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie | FC Porto · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1606 | 1594 |
| League minutes | 1062 (35%) | 1171 (38%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.76 | 0.46 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 52 | 56 |
| Market value | €8.0M | €5.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €6.1M – €17.5M | €3.4M – €8.8M |
| Model value | €2.0M – €6.4M | €1.8M – €10.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.0M – €22.4M | €3.3M – €13.3M |
| Bargain Index | 55/100 | 70/100 |
| Development | High | High |
| Breakout probability | 27% | 27% |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€6.1M – €17.5M Model value (performance-implied)€2.0M – €6.4M Projected value (24 months)€5.0M – €22.4M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€3.4M – €8.8M Model value (performance-implied)€1.8M – €10.8M Projected value (24 months)€3.3M – €13.3M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Esmir Bajraktarevic and Deniz Gül
- Gül is estimated to cost far less (€5.8M vs €10.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Gül (Bargain Index 70 vs 55) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.