Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Gustavo Varela remove | Alan Minda remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 23 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Gil Vicente FC · Liga Portugal | Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1303 | 1325 |
| League minutes | 1522 (50%) | 969 (36%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 26 | 24 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.0M – €5.8M | €1.4M – €4.5M |
| Model value | €459k – €2.2M | €810k – €3.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.8M – €8.4M | €1.2M – €4.4M |
| Bargain Index | 61/100 | 18/100 |
| Development | High | Low |
| Breakout probability | 34% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.0M – €5.8M Model value (performance-implied)€459k – €2.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.8M – €8.4M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €4.5M Model value (performance-implied)€810k – €3.0M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €4.4M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Gustavo Varela and Alan Minda
- On value for money the model prefers Varela (Bargain Index 61 vs 18) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.