Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Gonzalo García remove | Conrad Harder remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 21 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Real Madrid · Laliga | RB Leipzig · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1745 | 1573 |
| League minutes | 952 (28%) | 977 (32%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.66 | 0.65 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.32 | 0.42 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 78 | 59 |
| Market value | €30.0M | €17.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €23.0M – €42.9M | €14.0M – €25.7M |
| Model value | €7.3M – €16.0M | €4.6M – €20.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €18.1M – €50.4M | €9.3M – €30.6M |
| Bargain Index | 19/100 | 32/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 21% | 25% |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€23.0M – €42.9M Model value (performance-implied)€7.3M – €16.0M Projected value (24 months)€18.1M – €50.4M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€14.0M – €25.7M Model value (performance-implied)€4.6M – €20.0M Projected value (24 months)€9.3M – €30.6M Dashed line: current market value (€17.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Gonzalo García and Conrad Harder
- Harder has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.42 vs 0.32 per 90).
- Harder is estimated to cost far less (€17.8M vs €34.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Harder (Bargain Index 32 vs 19) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: García Moderate, Harder High.