Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Mario Engels remove | Greg Kiltie remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 32 | 29 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Heracles Almelo · Eredivisie | Kilmarnock FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1060 | 1104 |
| League minutes | 998 (33%) | 1894 (64%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 10 | 11 |
| Market value | €300k | €250k |
| Estimated acquisition | €72k – €219k | €61k – €187k |
| Model value | €187k – €332k | €313k – €528k |
| Projected value (24m) | €118k – €273k | €164k – €277k |
| Bargain Index | 85/100 | 91/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€72k – €219k Model value (performance-implied)€187k – €332k Projected value (24 months)€118k – €273k Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€61k – €187k Model value (performance-implied)€313k – €528k Projected value (24 months)€164k – €277k Dashed line: current market value (€250k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Mario Engels and Greg Kiltie
- Kiltie is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Kiltie was used far more by the club (64% of minutes vs 33%).
- Risk differs: Engels Very High, Kiltie High.