Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Cherrion Valerius remove | Olivier Aertssen remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 21 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | NAC Breda · Eredivisie | PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1118 | 1186 |
| League minutes | 1834 (60%) | 1857 (61%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.16 | 0.12 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 7 | 11 |
| Market value | €650k | €650k |
| Estimated acquisition | €201k – €842k | €238k – €651k |
| Model value | €275k – €649k | €291k – €734k |
| Projected value (24m) | €444k – €1.9M | €406k – €1.6M |
| Bargain Index | 88/100 | 100/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 15% | 20% |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€201k – €842k Model value (performance-implied)€275k – €649k Projected value (24 months)€444k – €1.9M Dashed line: current market value (€650k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€238k – €651k Model value (performance-implied)€291k – €734k Projected value (24 months)€406k – €1.6M Dashed line: current market value (€650k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Cherrion Valerius and Olivier Aertssen
- Aertssen is estimated to cost far less (€317k vs €514k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Aertssen (Bargain Index 100 vs 88) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.