Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Denil Castillo remove | Nikita Krivtsov remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 23 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | FC Midtjylland · Superliga | FK Krasnodar · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1562 | 1536 |
| League minutes | 1271 (64%) | 1489 (55%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.64 | 0.48 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 58 | 65 |
| Market value | €7.0M | €7.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €5.1M – €12.8M | €5.5M – €10.9M |
| Model value | €2.0M – €8.9M | €3.3M – €11.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.4M – €18.8M | €3.9M – €15.9M |
| Bargain Index | 81/100 | 55/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 29% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€5.1M – €12.8M Model value (performance-implied)€2.0M – €8.9M Projected value (24 months)€5.4M – €18.8M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€5.5M – €10.9M Model value (performance-implied)€3.3M – €11.9M Projected value (24 months)€3.9M – €15.9M Dashed line: current market value (€7.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Denil Castillo and Nikita Krivtsov
- On value for money the model prefers Castillo (Bargain Index 81 vs 55) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Castillo Moderate, Krivtsov Very High.