Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Álvaro Rodríguez remove | Roberto Fernández remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 23 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Elche CF · Laliga | RCD Espanyol Barcelona · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1389 | 1399 |
| League minutes | 2201 (64%) | 2387 (70%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.49 | 0.41 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 58 | 65 |
| Market value | €10.0M | €10.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €7.7M – €18.6M | €7.7M – €16.5M |
| Model value | €4.6M – €22.5M | €5.4M – €15.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.7M – €26.9M | €5.0M – €18.7M |
| Bargain Index | 60/100 | 37/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 39% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€7.7M – €18.6M Model value (performance-implied)€4.6M – €22.5M Projected value (24 months)€5.7M – €26.9M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€7.7M – €16.5M Model value (performance-implied)€5.4M – €15.1M Projected value (24 months)€5.0M – €18.7M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Álvaro Rodríguez and Roberto Fernández
- Rodríguez is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Rodríguez has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.58 vs 0.48 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Rodríguez (Bargain Index 60 vs 37) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Rodríguez Moderate, Fernández Low.