Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Nico Paz remove | Christoph Baumgartner remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 26 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Como 1907 · Serie A | RB Leipzig · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1589 | 1568 |
| League minutes | 2886 (84%) | 2793 (91%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.59 | 0.71 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 88 | 91 |
| Market value | €80.0M | €40.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €57.4M – €103M | €24.4M – €46.0M |
| Model value | €17.7M – €51.8M | €14.6M – €43.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €54.4M – €117M | €15.1M – €41.0M |
| Bargain Index | 30/100 | 13/100 |
| Development | High | Low |
| Breakout probability | 8% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€57.4M – €103M Model value (performance-implied)€17.7M – €51.8M Projected value (24 months)€54.4M – €117M Dashed line: current market value (€80.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€24.4M – €46.0M Model value (performance-implied)€14.6M – €43.4M Projected value (24 months)€15.1M – €41.0M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Nico Paz and Christoph Baumgartner
- Paz is 5 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Baumgartner is estimated to cost far less (€37.5M vs €79.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Paz (Bargain Index 30 vs 13) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.