Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Bastien Meupiyou remove | Marvin Elimbi remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 20 | 23 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | FC Alverca · Liga Portugal | Gil Vicente FC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1277 | 1303 |
| League minutes | 2619 (86%) | 2432 (80%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 34 | 29 |
| Market value | €7.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €5.3M – €11.5M | €2.0M – €6.4M |
| Model value | €643k – €3.7M | €541k – €1.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.6M – €16.0M | €2.2M – €7.7M |
| Bargain Index | 64/100 | 48/100 |
| Development | Very High | Low |
| Breakout probability | 36% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€5.3M – €11.5M Model value (performance-implied)€643k – €3.7M Projected value (24 months)€4.6M – €16.0M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.0M – €6.4M Model value (performance-implied)€541k – €1.3M Projected value (24 months)€2.2M – €7.7M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Bastien Meupiyou and Marvin Elimbi
- Meupiyou is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Elimbi is estimated to cost far less (€4.5M vs €8.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Meupiyou (Bargain Index 64 vs 48) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.