Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Pau Cubarsí remove | Ilya Zabarnyi remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 19 | 23 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | FC Barcelona · Laliga | Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1 |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1787 | 1818 |
| League minutes | 2706 (79%) | 2387 (78%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 98 | 99 |
| Market value | €80.0M | €40.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €57.5M – €134M | €28.8M – €56.6M |
| Model value | €36.9M – €108M | €40.3M – €79.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €60.8M – €115M | €23.8M – €51.3M |
| Bargain Index | 20/100 | 40/100 |
| Development | Very High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 6% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€57.5M – €134M Model value (performance-implied)€36.9M – €108M Projected value (24 months)€60.8M – €115M Dashed line: current market value (€80.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€28.8M – €56.6M Model value (performance-implied)€40.3M – €79.8M Projected value (24 months)€23.8M – €51.3M Dashed line: current market value (€40.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Pau Cubarsí and Ilya Zabarnyi
- Cubarsí is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Zabarnyi is estimated to cost far less (€42.5M vs €108M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Zabarnyi (Bargain Index 40 vs 20) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.