Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Youssef El Arabi remove | Mario Engels remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 39 | 32 |
| Position | Striker | Left winger |
| Club · league | FC Nantes · Ligue 1 | Heracles Almelo · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1304 | 1060 |
| League minutes | 938 (31%) | 998 (33%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.56 | 0.49 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 49 | 10 |
| Market value | €100k | €300k |
| Estimated acquisition | €30k – €253k | €72k – €219k |
| Model value | €218k – €791k | €187k – €332k |
| Projected value (24m) | €80k – €100k | €118k – €273k |
| Bargain Index | No index | 85/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€30k – €253k Model value (performance-implied)€218k – €791k Projected value (24 months)€80k – €100k Dashed line: current market value (€100k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€72k – €219k Model value (performance-implied)€187k – €332k Projected value (24 months)€118k – €273k Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Youssef El Arabi and Mario Engels
- Engels is 7 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Arabi plays in a stronger league (0.88 vs 0.43); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Risk differs: Arabi High, Engels Very High.