
Thomas Meunier
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Thomas Meunier's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-1.8M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.4M-1.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Contract end date unavailable: range widened by 15% each side.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Age above 33 (outside validated pool)
| Performance | High | 83.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Unfavorable | 34.8 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €864k vs market €1.5M |
| Expected appreciation | Very low | -49% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Big-five league | league coefficient 0.88 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1910 (62% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.19
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.13
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 83 (High)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.88 (rank 5)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1547
- Opponent strength
- 1462
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €410k – €979k
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 59% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -71% (IQR -81% to -50%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ▲Age 35: resale value typically declines.
- ⓘContract end date unavailable (or stale in source).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
Already playing in a big-five league.
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | RB | 25 | 1910 | 62% | 2 | 2 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 1462 | 1547 | 0.88 |
| 2024/25 | LOSC Lille | Ligue 1 | RB | 30 | 1925 | 63% | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 1450 | 1594 | 0.88 |
| 2023/24 | Trabzonspor | Super Lig | RB | 14 | 1245 | 36% | 1 | 5 | 0.43 | 0.27 | 1268 | 1379 | 0.45 |
| 2023/24 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | RB | 8 | 588 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 1439 | 1716 | 1.01 |
| 2022/23 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | RB | 10 | 582 | 19% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1518 | 1691 | 1.04 |
| 2021/22 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | RB | 17 | 1406 | 46% | 2 | 4 | 0.38 | 0.22 | 1526 | 1643 | 1.05 |
| 2020/21 | Borussia Dortmund | Bundesliga | RB | 21 | 1474 | 48% | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 1550 | 1703 | 1.06 |
| 2019/20 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | RB | 16 | 1243 | 51% | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0.10 | 1462 | 1779 | 0.82 |
| 2018/19 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | RB | 22 | 1615 | 47% | 3 | 4 | 0.39 | 0.15 | 1427 | 1714 | 0.82 |
| 2017/18 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | RB | 24 | 1571 | 46% | 4 | 3 | 0.40 | 0.12 | 1402 | 1774 | 0.85 |
| 2016/17 | Paris Saint-Germain | Ligue 1 | RB | 22 | 1692 | 49% | 1 | 4 | 0.27 | 0.12 | 1405 | 1757 | 0.88 |
| 2015/16 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 22 | 1877 | 70% | 1 | 3 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 1335 | 1511 | 0.57 |
| 2014/15 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 28 | 2499 | 93% | 2 | 4 | 0.22 | 0.12 | 1295 | 1574 | 0.54 |
| 2013/14 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 23 | 1919 | 71% | 3 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.13 | 1327 | 1473 | 0.49 |
| 2012/13 | Club Brugge KV | Jupiler Pro League | RB | 11 | 680 | 25% | 4 | 1 | 0.66 | 0.36 | 1359 | 1464 | 0.56 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League | LOSC Lille | 8 | 481 | 0 | 1 | 1531 |
| 2025/26 | World Cup | Belgium | 2 | 148 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League | LOSC Lille | 9 | 616 | 0 | 1 | 1611 |
| 2024/25 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | LOSC Lille | 4 | 376 | 0 | 0 | 1598 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 353 | 0 | 1 | 1613 |
| 2022/23 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 138 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 484 | 0 | 1 | 1594 |
| 2021/22 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 161 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Europa League | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1633 |
| 2020/21 | Uefa Champions League | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 348 | 0 | 1 | 1575 |
| 2020/21 | Dfb Pokal | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 81 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Franz Beckenbauer Supercup | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 1919 |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | 450 | 1 | 0 | 1645 |
| 2019/20 | Trophee Des Champions | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1488 |
| 2018/19 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 5 | 363 | 1 | 1 | 1687 |
| 2017/18 | Trophee Des Champions | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1727 |
| 2017/18 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1885 |
| 2016/17 | Uefa Champions League | Paris Saint-Germain | 6 | 454 | 1 | 2 | 1721 |
| 2016/17 | Trophee Des Champions | Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1533 |
| 2015/16 | Uefa Europa League | Club Brugge KV | 6 | 470 | 2 | 1 | 1532 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 708 | 0 | 0 | 1467 |
| 2014/15 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 3 | 270 | 0 | 0 | 1391 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Champions League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 180 | 0 | 0 | 1486 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 135 | 0 | 0 | 1321 |
| 2012/13 | Uefa Europa League | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 120 | 0 | 0 | 1423 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Réveillère Ligue 1 · 2013 | 34 | €1.5M | €500k | fell |
| Stefan Radu Serie A · 2021 | 35 | €2.0M | €300k | fell |
| Nemanja Vidic Serie A · 2015 | 34 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Philippe Mexès Serie A · 2014 | 32 | €2.5M | €500k | fell |
| Yuri Berchiche Laliga · 2024 | 34 | €1.8M | €1.0M | fell |
| Igor Lewczuk Ligue 1 · 2017 | 32 | €1.0M | €500k | fell |
| Dusan Basta Serie A · 2017 | 33 | €3.0M | €200k | fell |
| Jérémy Morel Ligue 1 · 2017 | 33 | €1.0M | €250k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Lille | Without Club | Unknown | €1.5M |
| 19 Jul 2024 | Trabzonspor | Lille | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 7 Feb 2024 | Dortmund | Trabzonspor | Free / loan | €2.5M |
| 1 Jul 2020 | PSG | Dortmund | Free / loan | €24.0M |
| 3 Jul 2016 | Club Brugge | PSG | €6.0M | €6.0M |
| 1 Jul 2011 | RE Virton | Club Brugge | €200k | €300k |
| 1 Jul 2009 | RE Virton U19 | RE Virton | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2006 | Standard Yth | RE Virton U19 | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.