Sabil Hansen
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Sabil Hansen's performance-implied value at EUR 0.2M-0.5M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.2M-0.8M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.6M. Confidence is low: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: not assigned
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
Insufficient sample (< 900 league minutes)
| Performance | Below average | 2.6th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Very favorable | 20.7 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €304k vs market €600k |
| Expected appreciation | Very high | +39% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Small | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Very High | breakout probability 43% |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.47 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Very High | |
| Data confidence | Low |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1269 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 716 (36% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.25
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.18
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 3 (Below average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.47 (rank 12)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1278
- Opponent strength
- 1259
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Very High
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- 43%
- Resale range (24m)
- €445k – €1.6M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +41% (IQR -11% to +139%).
Risk profile
Overall: Very High
- ▲Small sample: 716 league minutes last season.
- ⚠League level coefficient 0.47 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⚠Played under 40% of available league minutes (injury data unavailable, cause unknown).
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 24 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 60%–139%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 71%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Randers FC | Superliga | RB | 18 | 716 | 36% | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0.18 | 1259 | 1278 | 0.47 |
| 2024/25 | Randers FC | Superliga | RB | 6 | 223 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1278 | 1276 | 0.38 |
| 2023/24 | Randers FC | Superliga | CB | 2 | 69 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1441 | 1254 | 0.48 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Oddset Pokalen | Randers FC | 1 | 85 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Oddset Pokalen | Randers FC | 2 | 101 | 0 | 1 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arif Kocaman Super Lig · 2023 | 20 | €800k | €1.8M | rose |
| Zechariah Medley Jupiler Pro League · 2022 | 22 | €500k | €400k | fell |
| Jack MacKenzie Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 22 | €400k | €400k | flat |
| Ivan Mesik Superliga · 2021 | 20 | €700k | €200k | fell |
| Kieran Freeman Scottish Premiership · 2022 | 22 | €350k | €325k | flat |
| Mathias Ross Superliga · 2020 | 19 | €350k | €1.0M | rose |
| Robin Østrøm Superliga · 2024 | 22 | €600k | €2.0M | rose |
| Ryan Porteous Scottish Premiership · 2019 | 20 | €500k | €1.0M | rose |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2023 | Randers FC U19 | Randers FC | Unknown | €150k |
| 1 Jul 2022 | B.93 Youth | Randers FC U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.